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Revolutionary Precision: Pioneering Copula Approaches for Multifaceted Synthetic Data Generation

Sklar's Gaussian Copula Model

Executive Summary

This white paper explores the, expanding testing coverage, and facilitating seamless transitions from legacy systems to state-of-the-art platforms. In the age of Generative AI (GenAI), there are scenarios where specific requirements may call for a strategic departure from these advanced techniques. Yet, the pursuit of realistic synthetic data is far from unattainable. How can we achieve high-quality synthetic data without relying on GenAI? The answer lies in harnessing the power of copula models. These models adeptly capture complex dependencies among variables, ensuring that the synthetic datasets produced are not only realistic but also aligned with the intricacies of real-world data. Thus, even in the absence of GenAI, the realm of synthetic data generation remains rich with possibilities, showcasing the ingenuity of traditional statistical methodologies. Copula models stand out as powerful analytical tools that leverage the normal distribution properties to decode and model intricate dependencies among multiple random variables. By converting these variables into a standardised normal format, these models simplify the analysis of joint behaviours and correlations, delivering invaluable insights across finance, risk management, and environmental science.

The paper demonstrates how Copula models can produce highly realistic synthetic data, offering a deep understanding of complex variable interactions and dependencies. This approach is crucial for accurately capturing and analysing intricate relationships within multivariate data.

Cloudaeon’s pioneering use of copula models for synthetic data generation involves comparing these results with legacy systems to ensure thorough validation and superior testing coverage during system migrations. Recent advancements, especially the integration of machine learning techniques with Copula models, have markedly enhanced their predictive power. This cutting-edge combination not only refines the management of intricate dependencies but also significantly improves model accuracy. The ongoing evolution of Copula models highlights their crucial role in contemporary statistical analysis, showcasing their capacity to tackle modern analytical challenges with unparalleled precision and insight. Among the Copula family, the Gaussian copula model has been chosen for further development due to its exceptional performance and versatility.

Author

Cloudaeon's CTO and Co-founder. Amol has been a leader in Data & AI for over 20 years and has extensive experience converting business problems into data solutions.
Amol
Malpani

Cloudaeon's CTO and Co-founder. Amol has been a leader in Data & AI for over 20 years and has extensive experience converting business problems into data solutions.

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Malpani

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Lorem Ipsum is simply dummy text of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged.

Introduction

Synthetic data is a powerful tool in machine learning, data analysis, and software development. Unlike traditional data, which comes from real-world events, synthetic data is artificially created using algorithms. This allows organisations to generate large amounts of data that resemble real datasets while avoiding privacy issues. One major benefit of synthetic data is improved data privacy. With strict regulations on personal information, organisations can use synthetic data to develop models without risking exposure of sensitive data, especially in fields like healthcare and finance. Synthetic data also helps solve the problem of data scarcity. Collecting high-quality data can be challenging and expensive. By creating synthetic datasets, organisations can train their machine learning models more effectively, ensuring they perform well in real-world situations. Additionally, synthetic data offers flexibility. Researchers can customise datasets to include specific features and patterns, facilitating targeted testing and experimentation. This speeds up development and encourages innovation through rapid prototyping. As synthetic data continues to advance, its applications are growing in areas such as autonomous vehicles, fraud detection, and augmented reality. By using synthetic data, organisations can improve their data-driven strategies and discover new opportunities for growth and efficiency.

 

The Role of Synthetic Data Across Organisations

Tech giants, startups, and mid-scale companies are increasingly seeing the benefits of synthetic data. For large tech companies, it allows them to quickly scale machine learning models while ensuring compliance with data privacy laws. They can generate diverse datasets to refine their algorithms and create more robust AI systems.

Startups often face challenges with limited resources and access to real data. Synthetic data helps them speed up product development and test new ideas without the cost of acquiring real data. Mid-scale companies can also take advantage of synthetic data to boost their analytics capabilities, helping them compete more effectively. By creating customised datasets that reflect customer behaviours or market trends, these organisations can gain valuable insights that enhance decision-making and improve their services. This collective use of synthetic data highlights its significant impact across all types of organisations in today’s data-driven world.


Synthetic Data Projections

Artificially generated information, known as synthetic data, replicates the characteristics of real-world data while preserving privacy and avoiding exposure of sensitive information. Synthetic data sets maintain the same mathematical properties as the real-world data they replace, enabling the safe testing of machine learning models and software applications (World Economic Forum, 2022) [12]. The global market for synthetic data generation was valued at $168.9 million in 2021, with an expected annual growth rate of 35.8%, projected to reach $3.5 billion by 2031 (Allied Market Research, 2022) [1]. According to a study by Gartner, by 2024, 60% of the data used for AI development will be synthetic rather than real (Gartner, 2021) [3]. A robust synthetic data market can also directly support the Responsible and Trustworthy AI (RTAI) principles of privacy and fairness, enabling ethical innovation in AI (Trilateral Research, 2022) [11].



 

Optimising Test Coverage Using Copula Models

As businesses transition to advanced platforms to meet evolving operational requirements, the migration of data from legacy systems can present significant challenges. These challenges include obtaining stakeholder approval and ensuring data integrity, both of which are critical for maintaining stakeholder confidence and achieving a smooth migration.


To effectively engage stakeholders and ensure a seamless migration, it is essential to implement a solution that guarantees smooth data transfer while maintaining data integrity, and which is also scalable and cost-effective. This white paper explores the application of copula models for generating structured test data that emulates historical data from legacy systems, thereby improving test coverage.


Effective test data is vital for a comprehensive assessment and comparison of new systems against legacy platforms. As the number of variables increases, the complexity and number of potential test cases grow exponentially, making it challenging to cover all possible scenarios and boundary conditions.


Copula models offer a robust solution by generating synthetic data that captures the complex dependencies inherent in legacy systems. By utilising copula models, organisations can produce synthetic test data that retains these dependencies, enabling thorough coverage of test scenarios and facilitating a detailed evaluation of new systems.



 

Synthetic Data Centric Approach

Overview


The Synthetic Data Centric Approach is a methodology that prioritizes the creation and use of synthetic data to improve machine learning and analytics processes. This approach involves generating artificial datasets that closely resemble real-world data while addressing key challenges such as privacy concerns, compliance requirements, and data scarcity. By leveraging synthetic data, organizations can develop diverse and representative datasets, facilitating effective testing and training of algorithms without the constraints of traditional data sources. Ultimately, this approach enhances innovation, promotes ethical data practices, and supports the development of reliable AI systems, driving operational efficiency and informed decision-making across various applications. 


Synthetic data artificially generated data that mimic the original (observed) data by preserving relationships between variables [5]. A synthetic data-centric approach is vital for advancing the integration of demand and supply, which are increasingly interconnected. In today’s context, the importance of synthetic data cannot be overstated, as it enhances precision and supports sustainable practices. By delivering critical insights and simulations, synthetic data is crucial for optimising systems and managing resources efficiently. Various methods exist for generating synthetic data, including statistical distributions, agent-based models, and deep learning techniques. For our specific requirements, statistical distribution methods are most suitable, as they do not rely on AI models. 


Synthetic data are data that have been generated using a purpose built mathematical model or algorithm, with the aim of solving a (set of) data science task(s) [7]. When selecting the most suitable method for generating synthetic data, it's crucial to understand the types of synthetic data needed to address specific business problems.  Differentiating between fully synthetic and partially synthetic data can be challenging. Fully synthetic data is generated entirely through simulations without any reference to real-world data, ensuring no real individuals are represented. In contrast, partially synthetic data is based on real data, with sensitive information replaced by synthetic values, retaining some real elements.


Understanding these distinctions is crucial for selecting the appropriate synthetic data for different applications, balancing privacy with usability. Data generated using a Gaussian copula is considered fully synthetic because it is based on simulated correlations rather than real observed data. Synthetic data composes a symphony of equilibrium, artfully weaving together model accuracy, data reliability, and the delicate notes of privacy.



Fig. 1: Synthetic data lifecycle using copula
Fig. 1: Synthetic data lifecycle using copula

Copula Model Overview

The Copula Model is a statistical framework used to model and analyse the dependency structures between multiple variables. It allows for the flexible combination of marginal distributions of individual variables with their joint distribution, thereby providing a comprehensive understanding of their relationships. The concept of copulas was introduced by the French mathematician A. Sklar in his seminal paper, “Distribution Functions in n Dimensions and Their Margins (1959) [9]’’. Sklar's theorem provided a fundamental result that allows the construction of multivariate distributions by combining marginal distributions with copulas. This work laid the groundwork for the modern use of copulas in various fields such as finance, insurance, and statistics.


  1. Joint Distribution:Begin with the joint distribution function (F(x, y)) derived from real data.

  2. Generate Data: Create a joint distribution (F'(x, y)) based on the real data. This step simulates new data that follows the same statistical properties as the original data.

  3. Extract Marginals:From the joint distribution (F'(x, y)), determine the marginal distributions ( g'(x)) and ( h'(y)).

  4. Transform to Uniform:Convert the marginal distributions into uniform margins  (U') and (V'). This step ensures that the data is scaled appropriately for copula analysis.

  5. Construct Copula:Use the uniform margins (U') and (V') to construct the copula (C'(u, v)), which captures the dependence structure between the variables.

  6. Combine with Marginals:Form the joint distribution as:[F'(x, y) = C'(g'(x), h'(y))]


This combines the copula with the marginal distributions.



Fig. 2: Copula Model Overview Proposed by A. Sklar
Fig. 2: Copula Model Overview Proposed by A. Sklar

Figure 2 demonstrates the Copula Model, where the joint distribution of a set of random variables is expressed in terms of their marginal distributions and a copula function. A copula function links the univariate marginal distribution functions to their complete multivariate distribution, effectively capturing the dependencies between the variables [2].


Sklar's Copula Model Overview

Figure 2 illustrates the Copula, a specific application of Sklar's Theorem, which states that any multivariate joint distribution function can be decomposed into its marginal distributions and a copula function.



Fig. 3: Sklar's Gaussian Copula Model Overview
Fig. 3: Sklar's Gaussian Copula Model Overview

Understanding Percentiles and Copula Models

Percentiles play a crucial role in analysing data distributions by offering insights into the data's range and central tendencies. Copula models are instrumental in this context, as they capture complex dependencies between variables and ensure that the relationships between percentiles are preserved in simulations. The 10th percentile represents the value below which 10% of observations fall, aiding in the identification of extreme low values and outliers. The 50th percentile or median indicates the midpoint of the dataset, with 50% of values below and 50% above. While these percentiles are often used for general analysis, any percentile can be calculated based on specific analytical needs. Copula models enhance this process by accurately modelling and preserving the statistical relationships between percentiles in data simulations.


Comparative Analysis of Source vs. Copula-Generated Data

  • Mean vs. Variance vs. Standard Deviation: Analyses the copula model's effectiveness in replicating the variability and central tendencies of the original data. 

  • Percentile Comparisons: Measures how accurately the copula model captures the distribution extremes, including the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles. 

  • Mean vs. Standard Deviation vs. 10th Percentile: Assesses the model's precision in replicating lower tail distributions. 

  • A colour gradient scale indicates a score metric, highlighting deviations, while distinct markers visually separate the datasets, facilitating the evaluation of the copula model's statistical performance.


Fig. 4: Comparative Analysis of Source vs. Copula-Generated Data
Fig. 4: Comparative Analysis of Source vs. Copula-Generated Data

This approach allows for flexible modeling of complex dependencies by separating marginal distributions from the dependency structure. It is crucial for generating synthetic data that accurately reflects real-world dependencies. However, achieving ideal synthetic data requires careful calibration to match the true dependencies observed in real datasets [2].



Fig. 5: Sklar's Gaussian Copula Model Overview
Fig. 5: Sklar's Gaussian Copula Model Overview

The Gaussian Copula uses a multivariate normal distribution to capture the dependency structure between variables. This model facilitates flexible modelling of complex dependencies by separating marginal distributions from the correlation structure, essential for generating synthetic data that mirrors real-world dependencies. Achieving “ideal” synthetic data necessitates meticulous calibration to accurately represent the true dependencies observed in real datasets [2]. The plot illustrates the Gaussian copula model, which encapsulates the dependency structure between two variables through a multivariate normal distribution. With a correlation coefficient of 0.9, the joint density function forms a distinctive parabolic shape. This visualization highlights the Gaussian copula’s ability to decouple marginal distributions from their correlation structure, thereby effectively modeling dependencies. The 3D surface plot illustrates the joint probability density and variable interactions based on correlation. The colorbar denotes the density scale in the plot.


Copulas and Their Transformations

Copula: A mathematical function that connects joint distributions with their marginal distributions, capturing the dependence between variables. It models complex dependencies that go beyond simple correlations.

Forward Transform: Converts data from its original joint distribution into a uniform distribution using the cumulative distribution function (CDF).

This process simplifies the analysis of dependencies by mapping data to a uniform scale. It is typically visualised using a 3D scatter plot where data points are uniformly distributed.

Reverse Transform: Transforms uniform variables back to the original data space using the inverse CDF. This shows how uniform marginals are converted back to the original data distribution. Visualisation is often done with a 3D scatter plot of the reconstructed data.

CDF (Cumulative Distribution Function): Indicates the probability that a variable is less than or equal to a specific value, based on the data. It helps visualise how data is distributed and accumulates over different values. This is represented in a plot showing the cumulative probability for both original and transformed data.


Note:

  • Copula: Models how variables depend on each other.

  • Forward Transform: Maps original data to a uniform distribution using the CDF.

  • Reverse Transform: Converts uniform data back to the original distribution using the inverse CDF.

  • CDF Plot: Shows the distribution of data and cumulative probability.

  • These concepts are key for effectively analysing and visualising data relationships and distributions, offering valuable insights into complex dependencies.


Fig. 6: Copulas and CDFs (Cumulative Distribution Function)
Fig. 6: Copulas and CDFs (Cumulative Distribution Function)

Gaussian Copulas for Intricate Dependency Structures

The Gaussian copula translates intricate dependencies into clear, manageable models, connecting theoretical correlations with real-world data [2]. In the Copula Model, input includes marginal distributions and a copula function, which combine to form a joint distribution reflecting variable dependencies. The effectiveness is assessed by comparing this joint distribution with real-world data. Discrepancies guide adjustments to improve the accuracy of the dependency representation. After constructing the copula model, the copula function is expected to accurately capture the dependency structure among the variables, reflecting complex relationships that might be challenging to model directly. In the Copula Model, the input consists of the marginal distributions of individual variables and a chosen copula function. The copula function combines these marginal distributions to construct the joint distribution, capturing the dependencies between the variables.


The output is the joint distribution that reflects the dependency structure among the variables. Copulas are not made for input like textual data, but the combination of copulas and advanced programming techniques makes it possible to analyse such data. The effectiveness of this copula model is evaluated by comparing the constructed joint distribution with real-world data. 


Discrepancies between the modelled dependencies and observed data provide feedback on the accuracy of the copula model, guiding adjustments to refine the representation of dependencies between the variables. Existing research highlights that copulas are powerful tools for modelling complex dependencies across various fields, including finance, insurance, and statistics [4].


The figure 7 demonstrates the Gaussian Copula Model, where the joint distribution of a set of random variables is expressed in terms of their marginal distributions and a Gaussian copula function. The Gaussian copula function links the univariate marginal distribution functions to their complete multivariate distribution, effectively capturing the dependencies between the variables. This approach allows for modelling complex dependency structures by using the correlation matrix to define the copula, which facilitates the representation of relationships among the variables in a flexible and comprehensive manner.


The Gaussian Copula model captures correlations among multiple variables, making it ideal for generating synthetic data. It is used in finance and risk management to model dependencies between asset returns and risks. By linking marginal distributions to a joint multivariate distribution, it accurately reflects correlation structures, enabling realistic synthetic data creation for risk assessment, portfolio optimisation, and scenario analysis, while maintaining data confidentiality.


Copulas for Refined Relational Dynamics

Copulas are versatile tools for capturing complex relationships between variables, including both linear and non-linear dependencies.


Fig. 7: Copulas in Modelling Linear and Non-Linear Dependencies
Fig. 7: Copulas in Modelling Linear and Non-Linear Dependencies

By decoupling the marginal distributions from the dependence structure, copulas enable flexible joint modeling of multiple random variables. This feature is particularly valuable in fields such as finance and hydrology, where it is crucial to understand joint behaviors and extreme events. In the realm of synthetic data generation, copulas facilitate the creation of realistic datasets by incorporating the desired dependence structure, thereby ensuring that the generated data reflects the true relationships and extreme events accurately.   


Components of the Copula Model

  1. Marginal Distributions: Marginal distributions are crucial in statistics for understanding individual variables within a multivariate context. For instance, in

    “Introduction to Probability and Statistics” by Mendenhall, Beaver, and Beaver, the marginal distribution of stock prices is obtained by summing joint probabilities across different interest rates. This process isolates the behaviour of stock prices from interest rates, highlighting how marginal distributions focus on a single variable's distribution while ignoring others [6].


  2. Copula Function: This function describes the dependency structure between the variables. Joe (2014) notes, "Copulas provide a way to model complex dependencies between variables by capturing the relationships between their marginal distributions" ([4]).

 


Univariate, Bivariate, and Multivariate Copula Framework


Fig. 8: Univariate, Bivariate and Multivariate Copula Frameworks
Fig. 8: Univariate, Bivariate and Multivariate Copula Frameworks
  1. Univariate Normal Distribution: Describes a single variable with a Gaussian distribution, defined by its mean (μ) and variance (σ²). The bell-shaped curve represents the probability density function and is fundamental in statistical modelling.

  2. Bivariate Normal Distribution (3D Surface): Models the joint distribution of two correlated variables with a mean vector and covariance matrix. The 3D surface plot shows variations in density, illustrating the relationship between the two variables.

  3. Bivariate Normal Distribution (Contour Plot): Visualises the joint density with contour lines indicating regions of constant density. Contours help understand the correlation and distribution shape in two dimensions.

  4. Multivariate Normal Distribution (Contour Slice): Extends the Gaussian distribution to multiple variables, represented by a mean vector and covariance matrix. A 2D contour slice provides insight into density variations within a specific plane of the high-dimensional space.


How the Copula Model Works

  • Modelling Marginals: Each variable's marginal distribution is estimated separately. This might involve fitting distributions like normal, exponential, or others, depending on the nature of the data.

  • Choosing a Copula: A copula function is selected based on the nature of dependencies observed in the data. The choice of copula affects how well the joint distribution reflects the real-world relationships between the variables. The choice of copula is crucial for accurately capturing the dependencies between variables, especially in risk management applications [8].

  • Combining Marginals with Copula: The copula function combines the marginal distributions to construct the joint distribution. This allows for capturing complex dependency structures, such as tail dependencies or non-linear relationships.


Gaussian Copula Simplified

  1. Gaussian Equals Normal: “Gaussian” refers to the normal distribution (bell curve). A “Gaussian copula” connects data based on this distribution.

  2. Shape vs. Relationship: Scores from different tests follow their own bell curves. The copula focuses on how these scores relate, not their individual values.

  3. Understanding Links: It examines whether high scores on one test are linked to high scores on another, like noting how two people walk together without focusing on their speed.

  4. Data Standardisation: Scores are scaled from 0 to 1 using the normal distribution’s CDF (Cumulative Distribution Function) to standardise the data, highlighting relationships.

  5. Joint Behaviour: The copula models how data points move together, predicting if high scores on one test align with high scores on another.


Why Use Gaussian Copulas?

  • Versatility: Copulas analyse relationships between variables independently of their individual distributions, akin to understanding connections without needing to know all underlying details.

  • Real-World Applications: Ideal for fields like finance and insurance, where grasping interactions between different factors is essential. 


Synthetic Data Validation:

Validation is essential for ensuring accuracy, maintaining data reliability, and assessing similarity thresholds. It requires selecting suitable techniques based on data formats and types and is vital during the integration and analysis of synthetic data. Numerous statistical techniques, including various tests and metrics, have been applied to validate the accuracy of synthetic data. These include correlation similarity scores, regression analysis, fidelity metrics, utility metrics, privacy measures, linearity and non-linearity assessments, data quality validation, and propensity scores. To validate synthetic data accuracy, several statistical techniques and metrics are used. These include correlation similarity scores, regression analysis, fidelity metrics, utility metrics, privacy measures, and assessments of linearity and non-linearity. Additional methods involve leakage scores, proximity scores, and evaluations of monotonicity.

Extensive techniques are used to ensure comprehensive evaluation of data quality, fidelity, and applicability, addressing different aspects of synthetic data generation and its alignment with real-world data.

 

Validating synthetic data requires both external and internal methods. External validation compares it with real-world data to check accuracy, while internal validation assesses the data generation process for consistency and completeness. Together, these methods ensure synthetic data is reliable and suitable for analysis and modeling. Effective validation throughout data generation, transformation, and modeling confirms that synthetic data accurately reflects real data and preserves essential patterns, ensuring its reliability for practical use.

Synthetic data boosts AI model robustness by diversifying validation sets and reducing overfitting. Its use in validation enhances performance metrics and model accuracy across both in-domain and out-domain datasets [11].


Despite the data being derived from real entities, it maintains a high degree of realism and accurately reflects the statistical properties of genuine datasets. This highlights the Gaussian copula's remarkable effectiveness in generating data that faithfully emulates real-world patterns.

 

Small Input, Impressive Output:

Input_1: -Single File/Table


Input_2: -Multiple Files/Tables



Fig. 9: displays synthetic data generated by the Gaussian copula model.
Fig. 9: displays synthetic data generated by the Gaussian copula model.

How is the copula model pertinent here?

Addressing the problem at hand, the use case of test data generation for comparing the existing legacy system with the proposed advanced system necessitates evaluating the performance of both systems using identical input data. To expedite the deployment of the new advanced system, it must undergo testing with a broad range of specific and realistic test cases. The test data should closely replicate real-world samples and anticipate emerging data patterns. Furthermore, it should encompass both volume and variety to reduce redundancy and enhance testing efficiency. This requires an understanding of the interactions between various data fields. In the financial services example, for instance, the data includes multiple fields that are either categorical or numerical. These fields must interact in a manner that reflects real-world scenarios.


Traditional sampling methods generate comprehensive test cases based solely on individual field values without considering the relationships between fields. This challenge can be addressed using copula models. Copula models are adept at capturing and modeling the dependencies among different fields, enabling the generation of synthetic data that preserves the statistical relationships found in real-world data. By employing copulas, synthetic samples can be created with authentic inter-field dependencies, thus offering a more accurate and thorough testing environment. Additionally, copula-based synthetic data generation is particularly advantageous when real data usage is constrained by legal or compliance issues. In this paper, we will focus on the utilization of copula models for generating tabular data.

onally, copula-based synthetic data generation is particularly advantageous when real data usage is constrained by legal or compliance issues. In this paper, we will focus on the utilisation of copula models for generating tabular data.



 

Cloudaeon’s approach for the problem

Fig. 10:Flow diagram illustrating the process of synthetic data generation using real data.
Fig. 10:Flow diagram illustrating the process of synthetic data generation using real data.

Fig. 11: Use case diagram illustrating the synthetic data generation sequence from login.
Fig. 11: Use case diagram illustrating the synthetic data generation sequence from login.

Fig.12: Cloudaeon’s Copula Framework for Synthetic Data Generation
Fig.12: Cloudaeon’s Copula Framework for Synthetic Data Generation

This framework enables analysts to model complex dependencies between variables that traditional methods might not capture effectively. Testing can be advanced by assessing how the models perform under edge cases and corner cases within the test samples. Given that these corner cases are infrequent and atypical, employing a copula model is crucial for accurately capturing and representing the dependencies and relationships among the variables. This ensures that the synthetic data generated encompasses rare and critical scenarios, leading to a more rigorous evaluation of the models' resilience and overall efficacy. Additionally, continuous data testing can further enhance the models' accuracy by ensuring they are evaluated against a broad spectrum of scenarios and data variations.


Given the substantial volume of real data, employing data science techniques to produce synthetic data that accurately mirrors the real dataset is essential for effective testing. It is critical to assess the significance of each input variable to evaluate the impact of synthetic data on diverse decision-making processes.


Pivotal Challenges and Strategic Remedies

While numerous advanced statistical and machine learning models, including the Gaussian copula model, encounter limitations due to the extensive and diverse data required for effective training, the issue extends beyond mere data volume. The objective is for the trained model to generate synthetic data that authentically mirrors the quality of real-world data.


A key challenge arises when real data distributions contain infrequent yet critical cases essential for comprehensive system validation. This challenge can be effectively addressed by using a training approach that focuses on modeling the conditional distributions of columns or groups of columns for specified values or ranges. The Gaussian copula model is particularly adept at this, as it proficiently captures and reconstructs the complex dependencies among various types of data-categorical, numerical, and ordinal ensuring that the synthetic data produced is both precise and representative.


Business-related challenges

Data Quality, Data Scarcity and Data Drift

To guarantee the precision of synthetic data produced by Gaussian Copula models, it is crucial to address challenges related to data quality, availability, and drift throughout the data generation process. Data scarcity can hinder the generation of robust synthetic datasets, requiring careful management of available data and potentially integrating additional sources. Data drift, driven by changes in external conditions and periodic variations, necessitates regular updates and monitoring to ensure the synthetic data remains relevant and accurate. Garbage data can further complicate this process; however, implementing rigorous data cleaning techniques can mitigate such issues. Effectively managing edge cases is also critical for thorough evaluation and requires ongoing model refinement to adapt to evolving patterns. Gaussian Copula models are particularly adept at capturing complex relational dependencies, ensuring that synthetic data accurately reflects the intricate relationships of the original datasets and maintains its utility for downstream applications.


Micro to Macro Numerosity

Illuminating the groundbreaking potential of synthetic data generation techniques, with a particular emphasis on Copula models, reveals their ability to seamlessly scale from modest initial datasets (micro) to expansive datasets (macro). Leveraging a modest initial dataset, Copula models can significantly increase the volume of synthetic data while accurately preserving complex dependencies and relationships.


This scalability is vital for a wide array of data-driven applications, ensuring that the synthetic data generated accurately mirrors real-world data for tasks such as training machine learning models, conducting comprehensive analyses and simulating diverse scenarios.


Data Privacy

Data privacy regulations present significant technical challenges in data collection, storage, and sharing, which can impede the development of robust systems. These challenges also affect the accurate modelling of user interactions and behaviour’s. To address these issues, one effective strategy is to configure the system so that model training is conducted on the same server as the legacy system, facilitating the generation of test cases through combined observations and results. Furthermore, leveraging the Copula model to generate diverse synthetic samples supports the testing process while maintaining data privacy. This approach allows the trained model to be shared across testing teams without compromising sensitive information.


Tabular Data Validation

Tabular data consists of values stored in rows and columns, requiring the simultaneous modelling of distinct column distributions as well as row-wise and table-wise constraints. Although tabular data generation has received less attention compared to image data, it still faces significant challenges. The independent generation of column values might result in invalid rows. To ensure semantic correctness, techniques such as Gaussian Copulas are employed to capture dependencies and validate the generated data.


In the realm of validating synthetic data against real datasets, it is essential to ensure accurate alignment with the statistical intricacies of the original data. This involves thorough evaluation of how well the synthetic dataset reproduces key statistical characteristics such as distributions, correlations, and relationships between variables. Privacy safeguards and advanced similarity metrics are crucial in this validation process, ensuring compliance with strict data privacy regulations while effectively capturing the complexities inherent in real-world datasets. Precision in depicting these statistical aspects is critical, underscoring the reliability and suitability of synthetic data for extensive analytical purposes.



 

Benefits of Cloudaeon’s Approach

A data centric approach based on ML techniques can be leveraged for:


  1. Accurate Dependency Modelling: Effectively captures and maintains complex variable relationships and dependencies, ensuring that synthetic data accurately reflects real-world interactions. This accuracy is crucial for reliable data analysis and model performance.

  2. Accelerated and Versatile Data Generation: Efficiently produces large volumes of synthetic data, speeding up testing, training, and analysis. Adapts to various data types and structures, simulating diverse real-world scenarios for comprehensive applications.

  3. Scalable Data Expansion: Generates large datasets from small samples, offering a cost-effective solution for data-intensive projects.

  4. Enhanced Statistical Validity: Preserves essential statistical properties, including correlations and distributions, ensuring synthetic data provides reliable insights and remains comparable to real data.

  5. Improved Data Representation: Offers a thorough and accurate depiction of data distributions and scenarios, which enhances the quality of simulations and analyses by covering a broad spectrum of conditions.

  6. Robust Simulation Capabilities: Facilitates detailed simulations by accurately reproducing complex data interactions and scenarios, which is essential for modelling and evaluating intricate systems.

  7. Efficient Privacy Management: Creates synthetic data that maintains the statistical characteristics of the original data while safeguarding sensitive information, ensuring privacy without sacrificing data utility.

  8. Synthetic Data for Security Testing: Synthetic data is crucial for enhancing model security by evaluating robustness against both white-box and black-box attacks. It helps identify vulnerabilities with full access and assesses performance when only outputs are visible, thereby strengthening resilience to various attack strategies and ensuring greater security.



 

Conclusion

With increasingly strict data privacy regulations and the rising complexity in accessing and anonymising multi-source production data, the demand for synthetic data creation and handling is escalating. Special requirements demand a customised approach, and synthetic data generation provides a flexible solution to meet these needs. By allowing us to simulate and test scenarios that are difficult or impractical to capture with real data alone, synthetic data supports tailored and innovative solutions.


Copula models are highly effective in this process, as they preserve statistical properties and ensure data privacy, making them ideal for generating synthetic data that maintains realistic relationships and confidentiality. Machine Learning (ML), a core component of Artificial Intelligence (AI), is crucial in creating structured test data. It enhances testing coverage, addresses privacy issues, and maintains data integrity by learning from existing data.


ML generates synthetic data that accurately reflects real-world scenarios, facilitating model training, scenario simulation, and predictive analysis across various industries. Integrating Copula models within ML frameworks further refines synthetic data generation by capturing and preserving variable dependencies, ensuring that the data remains both realistic and statistically valid. Organizations are encouraged to explore these technologies to optimize their operations and decision-making processes, leveraging their benefits to gain a competitive edge in the data-driven landscape.



 
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1. Allied Market Research (2022). Synthetic data generation market size, share & trends analysis report.

2. Embrechts, P., Lindskog, F. and McNeil, A. J. (2003). Modelling dependence with copulas and applications to risk management. In: Handbook of heavy tailed distributions in finance. Elsevier, pp. 329-384.

3. Gartner (2021). Forecasts for the future of synthetic data. Gartner Press Release.

4. Joe, H. (2014). Dependence modeling with copulas. CRC Press.

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6. Mendenhall, W., Beaver, R. J. and Beaver, B. M. (2020). Introduction to probability and statistics. 14th ed. Cengage Learning.

7. Nowok, B., Raab, G. M. and Dibben, C. (2016). Synthpop: Bespoke creation of synthetic data in R. Journal of Statistical Software, 74(11).

8. Nelsen, R. B. (2006). An introduction to copulas. Springer.

9. Sklar, A. (1959). Multidimensional distribution functions and their marginals. Publications of the Statistical Institute of the University of Paris, 8, 229-231.

10. Anonymous (2024). Synthetic data as validation. Under review as a conference paper at ICLR 2024.

11. Trilateral Research (2022). Core principles and opportunities for responsible and trustworthy AI.

12. World Economic Forum (2022). Synthetic data: Anonymization, utility, and privacy preservation.

13. Joe, H. (2014). Dependence modeling with copulas. Chapman and Hall/CRC.

14. Embrechts, P., Lindskog, F. and McNeil, A. J. (2003). Modelling dependence with copulas and applications to risk management. In: Handbook of heavy tailed distributions in finance. Elsevier, pp. 329-384.

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